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International companies are walking on the localization road(2008-8-4)

With the rapid development of Chinese economy, China chlor-alkali industry made a miraculous progress at the beginning of this century. Both caustic soda capacity and polyvinyl chloride capacity became  No.1 in the world from the year 2003 to 2007. Meanwhile, lots of international chlor-alkali producers, polyvinyl chloride producers and relevant companies are keeping a close eye on China market, reflecting investment, business and technology export in China chlor-alkali industry. In fact, strong Chinese demand is an attractive factor determining the overseas investments in China.

Investing in industry

As the low-cost labour force and strong demand market, several international producers invested in China in recent years. These producers will be shown as follow:

 

Company

Building time

Investors

Main product

Raw material from

Product flow to

LG Dagu

1995

KOREA LG

TIANJIN BOHAI CHEMICAL INDUSTRY GROUP

340,000 mt/yr PVC(Ethylene)

VCM from LG Bohai

China main land

Export

LG Bohai

2005

240,000 mt/yr caustic soda (Membrane grade)

350,000 mt/yr VCM

Korean ethylene

VCM: LG Dagu

Caustic soda:

China main land

Export

Formosa Plastics (Ningbo)

2002

Formosa Plastics

400,000 mt/yr PVC(Ethylene)

VCM from Formosa Plastics

China main land

Changzhou Hanhe Resin

2005

Changzhou Xindong Chem

Japan Tosoh

Japan Marubeni

80,000 mt/yr PVC(Ethylene)

VCM from Japan

China main land

Export

Tosoh Guangzhou

2004

Japan Tosoh, 67%

Japan  Mitsubishi, 18%

Japan mitsui, 7.5%

Japan Marubeni, 7.5%

220,000 mt/yr PVC(Ethylene)

VCM from Japan

Offering to downstream PVC goods manufacutrers

Huasu Plastics

1992

Westlake Group, 42.77%

Norsk Hydro A.S.

Jiangsu Suhua

Taicang Petrochem

130,000 mt/yr PVC(Ethylene)

VCM from Japan, Korea and Taiwan

China main land

Export

SP Chemicals (Taixing)

1995

Singapore Sp Chemicals

450,000 mt/yr caustic soda (Membrane grade)

200,000 mt/yr VCM

Salt from Australia and Mexico

VCM: China Main land

Caustic soda:

China main land

Export

Note:

1.         Hanwha Chemical¨s 300,000 mt/yr PVC project in Ningbo and 300,000 mt/yr PVC and 240,000 mt/yr caustic soda project of Indian Zoon cooperated with Sichuan Jiuda Penglai Salt Chem Group have not been built, so these projects have not been listed in this table.

2.         All materials are sourced from open channels.

It seems that these overseas investors are all large chemical groups in chemical industry, and they have many advanced technologies and global marketing channel. In addition, various products could meet diffenent usages from consumers and downstream manufacturers.

These investors, except from Westlake Group and Norsk Hydro A.S., are mainly from NE. Asia,

Especially Korea, Japan and Taiwan. They determined to invest in China mainly due to below reasons.

1.        These NE. Asian countries or regions are island or peninsula countries, where have less resources for chemical production and limited consumption market. As a result, the chlor-alkali industry in these regions need to move out. Eastern coastal regions of China become the preferred region for them.

2.        After the China PVC Anti-dumping case, tonnages from Japan, Korea and Taiwan could not flow into China freely. However, their investments in China on building PVC plants could ensure them to share the big demand market directly. In addition, Polyvinyl chloride plants all adopting ethylene route are determined by the supply of ethylene and EDC/VCM is in their hands. From material to product, the whole chain of PVC is under their control. According to the statistics data from China Custom, there is a half volume of ethylene, VCM/EDC imported as general trade, and others are imported as processing trade with material. This means a half of products flowing into China market, and others are controlled to flow into world market. Althought there has been a difference in business operation between domestic producers and overseas producers, they both enjoyed the rich profit from rapid development of China chlor-alkali market. However, with the coming of potential adjustment caused by the capacity explosion, increased cost, slowdown of demand and heavy competition, the overseas companies in China will also adjust their strategy and show economic viability in the coming years.

Successful business: Global marketing channel


These companies are active in China chlor-alkali industry, having more experiences on Imp. & Exp. business and wide business scope. Their advantages are shown as follow:

Ø         Strong capital support.

Ø         More experiences on chlor-alkali business and stable global marketing channel.

Ø         Huge global logistic system.

Ø         Firm business structure.

Imp. & Exp. condition has changed

 

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Solid Soda

Imp

1.47

1.72

1.69

1.69

2.02

Exp

26.57

17.69

28.58

42.19

44.73

Liquid Soda

Imp

9.05

7.40

3.01

1.00

1.23

Exp

10.72

11.37

54.81

90.92

102.69

PVC Pure Powder

Imp

175.86

162.82

130.75

114.70

110.07

Exp

2.17

1.71

11.86

46.03

71.17

EDC

Imp

36.03

34.34

49.24

43.91

35.11

Exp

2.05

2.55

VCM

Imp

76.16

77.84

89.83

100.00

86.79

Exp

0.31

Note: The volume below 100 tons is shown as ^ ̄.

 

With the break of soda and chlorine balance, China liquid soda export will increase yr-on-yr. On the other hand, the chorine demand will show an upward trend theoretically in China in the future. As PVC is the main product of chlorine consumption in China, PVC import market only shows a slow drop, but export market presents a rapid increase in recent years. The global marketing channel seems to play a role in determining future competition. Facing with the slowdown of world economy, the global strategy to domestic chlor-alkali producers will be more important.



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